Climate Tools

Explore climate futures, seasonal forecasts and historical change.

Data and migration notes

These browser versions were rebuilt from five supplied Shiny application archives in October 2026. Their controls, component order, climate inputs and intended calculations are retained. The original source archives were not edited.

Corrections made

Important scope details

The marine dataset is a forecast snapshot for April–September 2025. Its original run rule is at least five consecutive six-hourly samples within a calendar month. That rule has been preserved and explicitly labelled; it is not a five-day marine-heatwave-duration test. The monthly probability denominator remains 51 ensemble members. The map is a worst-member category display, separate from the probability table.

The snow files identify six forecast months, December–May, but a verified issue date was not supplied. These forecasts are labelled as archived examples. There is no automatic forecast-refresh service.

The CNRM, ICHEC and IPSL model cases retain the source labels Low, Mid and High. Those labels alone do not establish three distinct emissions pathways. Traffic-light classifications retain the original app’s screening thresholds, except for the specific assignment bug described above. In particular, the original forest-fire rainfall rule marks both large increases and large decreases as SAFE; that scientific choice has not been reinterpreted.

The GSI grid is displayed without an additional external land mask, matching the original application’s fallback when its optional mask package is unavailable. Correlations describe association, not causal attribution. The trend line is shown only when its ordinary least-squares slope has a two-sided Student t test p-value below 0.05, matching the source method.

How the website works

Map layers, time series and data subsets are served as static website files. Gzip-compressed float32 data retain the source grid values to float32 precision. Snow and GSI point queries load small geographic chunks at native resolution. Snow map displays use the source’s factor-four averaging; the GSI display uses factor-two averaging. Point extraction retains full resolution. All tool calculations run locally in the visitor’s browser. Base-map tiles are supplied by OpenStreetMap, with attribution shown on each map.

Browser calculations were checked against independent R/terra interpolation and R linear-model statistics, as well as the supplied park metrics and marine ensemble records.